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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Connecticut State Championship
Red109
17331.3
405537.6
283622.9
Blue157
17645.5
22836.7
169931.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109158050200250300109157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#5
37.60.0
37.6→37.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
blue by 8.0
176
#16
45.50.0
45.5→45.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
173
#11
31.30.0
31.3→31.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
blue by 5.4
228
#7
36.70.0
36.7→36.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Third
2836
#17
22.90.0
22.9→22.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
blue by 8.7
1699
#23
31.60.0
31.6→31.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4