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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Connecticut State Championship
Red182
23062.8
112446.9
371926.1
Blue163
99936.9
109939.8
23735.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167144050100200250300350182163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#18
62.80.0
62.8→62.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 23.1
1099
#8
39.80.0
39.8→39.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Second
1124
#4
46.90.0
46.9→46.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
red by 9.9
999
#9
36.90.0
36.9→36.9
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
Third
3719
#22
26.10.0
26.1→26.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 9.1
237
#13
35.20.0
35.2→35.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8