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Red67
314630.9
107121.7
199127.5
Blue129
55852.7
109939.8
112446.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6915605010020025030067129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#20
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
blue by 21.8
558
#6
52.70.0
52.752.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
Second
1991
#12
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
blue by 19.4
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Third
1071
#21
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 18.1
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds77%Capture odds