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Red75
206437.7
199127.5
99936.9
Blue95
23062.8
169931.6
405537.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981420502002507595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#25
37.70.0
37.737.7
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
blue by 25.1
230
#18
62.80.0
62.862.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
Second
999
#9
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
blue by 0.6
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
Third
1991
#12
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
blue by 4.1
1699
#23
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
45%Capture odds77%Capture odds