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Qual 212016 Connecticut State Championship
Red92
17820.0
107121.7
55852.7
Blue167
19568.9
206437.7
216844.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8516705010015020025030035092167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#6
52.70.0
52.7→52.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
blue by 16.2
195
#1
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
1071
#21
21.70.0
21.7→21.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 22.4
2168
#2
44.00.0
44.0→44.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Third
178
#10
20.00.0
20.0→20.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End3.3
blue by 17.7
2064
#25
37.70.0
37.7→37.7
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds78%Capture odds