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Red105
107121.7
23062.8
216844.0
Blue125
17645.5
17745.2
314630.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134124050100150200250300350105125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#18
62.80.0
62.862.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 17.3
176
#16
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
blue by 1.2
177
#3
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Third
1071
#21
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
blue by 9.3
3146
#20
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
33%Capture odds28%Capture odds