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Red135
19568.9
169931.6
55852.7
Blue107
18135.5
365418.6
17745.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16990050150200250300350135107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 23.7
177
#3
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Second
558
#6
52.70.0
52.752.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
red by 17.2
181
#15
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Third
1699
#23
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
red by 13.0
3654
#26
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto1.4
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
78%Capture odds28%Capture odds