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Semifinal 2-32016 Connecticut State Championship
Red169
17745.2
216844.0
365418.6
Blue180
23062.8
112446.9
371926.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129170050100150200250300350169180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
45.20.0
45.2→45.2
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
blue by 17.6
230
#18
62.80.0
62.8→62.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
Second
2168
#2
44.00.0
44.0→44.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
blue by 2.8
1124
#4
46.90.0
46.9→46.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Third
3654
#26
18.60.0
18.6→18.6
Auto1.4
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 7.5
3719
#22
26.10.0
26.1→26.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7