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Red171
198736.6
198652.5
500631.9
Blue175
109434.7
328437.8
52546.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14914380100120160180200171175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.6
End7.8
red by 6.3
525
#22
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
Second
1987
#19
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
blue by 1.2
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
Third
5006
#30
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
blue by 2.8
1094
#16
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto10.8
Teleop13.8
End10.1