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Red103
501328.0
445521.3
511929.8
Blue78
199421.1
171033.4
432930.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84846070809010011012010378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#43
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End5.5
blue by 3.6
1710
#36
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Second
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
blue by 2.2
4329
#20
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Third
4455
#23
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 0.1
1994
#47
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds13%Capture odds