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Red84
176426.3
352831.7
180213.7
Blue73
235722.9
176324.6
591818.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75670501001502008473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
red by 7.2
1763
#35
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Second
1764
#28
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
red by 3.4
2357
#17
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Third
1802
#38
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 4.8
5918
#39
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds60%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds