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Red126
198652.5
393741.3
328437.8
Blue58
180213.7
198228.4
511929.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14861010020025030035012658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.6
End7.8
red by 22.7
5119
#43
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Second
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
red by 12.8
1982
#33
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Third
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
red by 24.1
1802
#38
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds73%Breach odds
Capture
26%Capture odds0%Capture odds