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Red102
52546.2
180213.7
172329.7
Blue59
199722.4
642415.6
348517.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10050015020025030010259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#22
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
red by 23.9
1997
#37
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End4.9
Second
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
red by 12.3
3485
#42
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Third
1802
#38
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 1.9
6424
#50
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds38%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds0%Capture odds