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Red87
177539.2
438831.2
432930.2
Blue101
180213.7
110834.6
180653.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105104809010011012013087101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#32
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End8.6
blue by 14.1
53.30.0
53.353.3
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
Second
4388
#21
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
blue by 3.4
1108
#13
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
Third
4329
#20
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
red by 16.5
1802
#38
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
28%Capture odds3%Capture odds