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Red117
200123.4
198652.5
241029.8
Blue82
176426.3
580128.2
641915.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1166505010015020025011782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.6
End7.8
red by 24.3
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Second
2410
#31
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 3.5
1764
#28
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
Third
2001
#24
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.2
red by 7.8
6419
#49
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds63%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds1%Capture odds