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Red94
500631.9
184720.4
198532.4
Blue65
580128.2
173043.8
181019.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919170801001101209465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
blue by 11.4
1730
#14
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
Second
5006
#30
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
red by 3.7
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Third
1847
#10
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End1.5
red by 0.5
1810
#44
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds