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Red83
177723.9
176932.3
235722.9
Blue75
181019.9
198652.5
172329.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771100501502002508375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1769
#11
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
blue by 20.2
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.6
End7.8
Second
1777
#27
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End5.1
blue by 5.8
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
Third
2357
#17
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
red by 3.1
1810
#44
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds5%Capture odds