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Red63
642415.6
432930.2
500631.9
Blue89
198736.6
193928.2
199722.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789202003004005006389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#30
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
blue by 4.7
1987
#19
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Second
4329
#20
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
red by 1.9
1939
#18
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Third
6424
#50
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 6.7
1997
#37
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds2%Capture odds