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Red87
392834.9
235722.9
348517.4
Blue96
328437.8
171033.4
580128.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721080501502002503003508796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#40
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
blue by 3.0
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
Second
2357
#17
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
blue by 10.4
1710
#36
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
3485
#42
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End0.8
blue by 10.8
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds6%Capture odds