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Red76
180653.3
176324.6
256021.7
Blue65
233522.3
348517.4
193928.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109630501502002503007665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.0
53.353.3
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
red by 25.0
1939
#18
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Second
1763
#35
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End4.7
red by 2.3
2335
#34
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.0
Third
2560
#41
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 4.3
3485
#42
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds60%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds1%Capture odds