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Red92
199722.4
176932.3
172329.7
Blue74
199421.1
176426.3
177539.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888870801001101209274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1769
#11
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
blue by 6.9
1775
#32
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Second
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
red by 3.4
1764
#28
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
Third
1997
#37
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End4.9
red by 1.2
1994
#47
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds9%Capture odds