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Red108
464632.8
235722.9
432930.2
Blue84
393741.3
198228.4
256021.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8795020030040050060070010884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#15
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
blue by 8.5
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
Second
4329
#20
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
red by 1.8
1982
#33
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Third
2357
#17
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
red by 1.3
2560
#41
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds1%Capture odds