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Semifinal 1-22016 CowTown ThrowDown
Red139
198736.6
198652.5
500631.9
Blue86
392834.9
393741.3
184720.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15411505010020025013986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#1
52.50.0
52.5→52.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.6
End7.8
red by 11.2
3937
#5
41.30.0
41.3→41.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
Second
1987
#19
36.60.0
36.6→36.6
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
red by 1.8
3928
#40
34.90.0
34.9→34.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
Third
5006
#30
31.90.0
31.9→31.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
red by 11.5
1847
#10
20.40.0
20.4→20.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End1.5