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Red188
109434.7
328437.8
52546.2
Blue126
193928.2
180653.3
171033.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146146110120130140150160170180188126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#22
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
blue by 7.1
53.30.0
53.353.3
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
Second
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
red by 4.5
1710
#36
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
1094
#16
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto10.8
Teleop13.8
End10.1
red by 6.5
1939
#18
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6