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Red130
17730.6
55831.8
568619.4
Blue93
206426.3
109930.4
574618.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078805015020025030013093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#1
31.80.1
31.631.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.5
End4.5
red by 1.5
30.40.0
30.130.1
Auto8.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
177
#3
30.60.1
30.530.5
Auto7.7
Teleop18.8
End4.2
red by 4.4
2064
#26
26.30.0
26.026.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End7.7
Third
5686
#16
19.40.1
19.219.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 1.1
5746
#18
18.30.0
18.118.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.3