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Red108
17627.3
23031.2
405524.9
Blue102
99925.2
346424.4
107120.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11476050100150200108102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
31.20.0
32.332.3
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End4.0
red by 6.0
999
#10
25.20.3
25.225.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
176
#8
27.30.0
28.428.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End3.5
red by 2.9
24.40.3
24.424.6
Auto8.9
Teleop11.0
End4.5
Third
4055
#13
24.90.0
26.026.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End3.4
red by 4.7
1071
#30
20.20.3
20.220.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.5