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Red65
31047.6
112425.9
574618.3
Blue45
109930.4
568619.4
22820.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5758203040507080906545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#21
25.91.1
22.924.0
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End2.9
blue by 4.5
30.41.3
20.619.3
Auto8.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
5746
#18
18.31.1
18.619.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.3
blue by 2.2
228
#34
20.51.3
20.919.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Third
3104
#36
7.61.1
13.714.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 11.8
5686
#16
19.41.3
14.813.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed