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Red72
23622.3
405524.9
371816.1
Blue94
17730.6
15522.8
99925.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597102040801001207294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#13
24.91.5
16.317.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End3.4
blue by 5.7
177
#3
30.61.4
20.321.7
Auto7.7
Teleop18.8
End4.2
Second
236
#11
22.31.5
27.428.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End3.5
blue by 2.9
999
#10
25.21.4
23.224.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
3718
#31
16.11.5
15.216.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 6.7
155
#7
22.81.4
23.224.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed