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Red70
457218.3
34824.5
23031.2
Blue44
512912.4
365415.7
22820.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694502060801001207044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
31.20.7
25.926.6
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End4.0
red by 10.8
228
#34
20.50.4
19.719.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Second
348
#6
24.50.7
21.522.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.7
red by 8.8
3654
#17
15.70.4
14.914.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
4572
#15
18.30.7
16.517.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 5.9
5129
#33
12.40.4
12.912.5
Auto1.2
Teleop8.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed