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Red49
23031.2
15522.8
514212.2
Blue81
574618.3
331433.6
371917.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735402040801001201404981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
31.22.2
26.624.4
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End4.0
blue by 2.4
33.62.8
25.027.8
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.1
Second
155
#7
22.82.2
24.622.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 4.5
5746
#18
18.32.8
19.021.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Third
5142
#38
12.22.2
17.315.2
Auto0.9
Teleop9.4
End2.0
blue by 5.5
3719
#32
17.72.8
11.714.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed