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Red71
109930.4
512912.4
17730.6
Blue61
283621.5
217022.1
363417.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585101001507161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
30.61.2
21.722.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.8
End4.2
red by 8.5
2170
#27
22.11.1
19.720.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.8
Second
30.41.2
21.122.3
Auto8.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 8.9
2836
#12
21.51.1
15.316.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End6.2
Third
5129
#33
12.41.2
12.513.7
Auto1.2
Teleop8.1
End3.1
blue by 5.5
3634
#24
17.91.1
15.716.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed