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Red50
107120.2
462817.7
455719.9
Blue62
57120.7
378015.5
15522.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51480204060801005062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1071
#30
20.20.4
12.912.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.5
blue by 2.6
155
#7
22.81.7
22.424.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
4557
#20
19.90.4
17.917.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End2.0
blue by 0.8
571
#19
20.71.7
20.722.4
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
4628
#28
17.70.4
18.017.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.3
red by 2.2
3780
#22
15.51.7
3.75.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed