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Red57
378015.5
371917.7
199127.1
Blue65
512912.4
363417.9
112425.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3958020801005765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#14
27.11.8
21.323.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End3.8
red by 1.2
1124
#21
25.91.2
23.424.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End2.9
Second
3719
#32
17.71.8
14.516.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End2.6
blue by 0.2
3634
#24
17.91.2
16.818.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Third
3780
#22
15.51.8
5.47.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End0.7
red by 3.1
5129
#33
12.41.2
13.714.9
Auto1.2
Teleop8.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed