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Red60
283621.5
278521.5
462817.7
Blue41
112425.9
365415.7
371816.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586002040801001206041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2785
#23
21.50.3
19.720.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.1
End3.3
blue by 4.4
1124
#21
25.91.9
24.622.8
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End2.9
Second
2836
#12
21.50.3
18.819.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End6.2
red by 5.4
3718
#31
16.11.9
16.314.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
4628
#28
17.70.3
18.418.7
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.3
red by 2.0
3654
#17
15.71.9
16.814.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed