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Red32
514212.2
574618.3
455719.9
Blue59
363417.9
405524.9
378015.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534402060801003259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#20
19.92.6
17.514.9
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End2.0
blue by 5.0
4055
#13
24.91.6
19.120.7
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End3.4
Second
5746
#18
18.32.6
18.916.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.3
red by 0.4
3634
#24
17.91.6
18.019.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Third
5142
#38
12.22.6
13.811.2
Auto0.9
Teleop9.4
End2.0
blue by 3.3
3780
#22
15.51.6
7.18.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed21%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed