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Red77
57120.7
22820.5
352519.1
Blue70
371816.1
217022.1
31047.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6144020801007770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#19
20.71.5
20.822.3
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 1.4
2170
#27
22.11.4
22.023.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.8
Second
228
#34
20.51.5
16.918.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End2.6
red by 4.4
3718
#31
16.11.4
15.917.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
3525
#29
19.11.5
18.820.3
Auto8.3
Teleop9.4
End1.4
red by 11.5
3104
#36
7.61.4
7.58.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed