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Red44
378015.5
365415.7
206426.3
Blue57
15522.8
371917.7
283621.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50670204060801004457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#26
26.30.6
25.625.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End7.7
red by 3.5
155
#7
22.80.5
25.024.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
3654
#17
15.70.6
13.913.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 5.8
2836
#12
21.50.5
19.318.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End6.2
Third
3780
#22
15.50.6
11.110.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End0.7
blue by 2.2
3719
#32
17.70.5
18.017.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed