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Red64
331433.6
217022.1
17812.6
Blue90
112425.9
455719.9
199127.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706202040801001206490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.7
31.630.9
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.1
red by 6.5
1991
#14
27.12.5
22.224.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End3.8
Second
2170
#27
22.10.7
23.422.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End3.8
blue by 3.8
1124
#21
25.92.5
23.626.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.5
End2.9
Third
178
#35
12.60.7
12.111.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.6
blue by 7.3
4557
#20
19.92.5
15.618.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed