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Red40
31047.6
371917.7
457218.3
Blue66
363417.9
23622.3
455719.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486002040801001204066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4572
#15
18.30.7
20.119.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 3.9
236
#11
22.30.8
21.322.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End3.5
Second
3719
#32
17.70.7
18.617.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End2.6
blue by 2.2
4557
#20
19.90.8
18.118.9
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Third
3104
#36
7.60.7
9.48.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 10.3
3634
#24
17.90.8
17.318.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed