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Red25
283621.5
405524.9
352519.1
Blue80
23031.2
363417.9
574618.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6765204060801002580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#13
24.94.4
20.616.1
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End3.4
blue by 6.3
230
#4
31.21.8
29.831.6
Auto8.0
Teleop19.2
End4.0
Second
2836
#12
21.54.4
26.722.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End6.2
red by 3.2
5746
#18
18.31.8
16.818.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Third
3525
#29
19.14.4
17.613.2
Auto8.3
Teleop9.4
End1.4
red by 1.2
3634
#24
17.91.8
17.018.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed