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Red59
22820.5
585619.5
107120.2
Blue87
17812.6
109930.4
283621.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616140507080905987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#34
20.50.0
19.619.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End2.6
blue by 9.9
30.41.7
28.229.9
Auto8.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
1071
#30
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.5
blue by 1.3
2836
#12
21.51.7
20.021.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End6.2
Third
5856
#25
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.9
End3.4
red by 6.9
178
#35
12.61.7
10.912.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed