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Red128
188539.1
37947.0
825.8
Blue111
445521.3
28739.5
464632.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11185204060100120140160180128111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#16
47.00.9
40.741.6
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
red by 7.5
287
#64
39.51.6
37.439.0
Auto10.9
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Second
1885
#11
39.10.9
38.639.5
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
red by 6.3
4646
#26
32.81.6
30.231.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
Third
8
#27
25.80.9
24.925.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End5.2
red by 4.5
4455
#74
21.31.6
19.220.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsEarned