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Red117
365636.9
69439.7
28739.5
Blue97
126144.9
408724.0
603415.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107105010015020011797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
39.71.1
25.526.6
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
blue by 5.2
1261
#13
44.91.5
42.243.7
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
Second
287
#64
39.51.1
38.639.7
Auto10.9
Teleop24.4
End4.2
red by 15.5
4087
#36
24.01.7
17.519.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Third
3656
#37
36.91.1
37.038.1
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End5.0
red by 21.7
6034
#75
15.11.5
14.616.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed