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Red67
418031.6
208017.8
594021.2
Blue100
601624.9
33931.4
216844.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6711305010015020067100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#47
31.60.3
27.727.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
blue by 12.5
2168
#45
44.00.2
42.842.6
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Second
5940
#68
21.20.4
23.423.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End2.7
blue by 10.1
339
#58
31.40.2
35.235.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
2080
#69
17.80.3
20.320.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 7.1
6016
#57
24.90.2
24.724.5
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsMissed