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Qual 362016 Curie Division
Red133
199127.5
354644.1
580337.5
Blue105
333941.6
433518.2
255745.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110100050150200250300350133105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#1
44.11.5
43.0→44.5
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
blue by 1.3
2557
#22
45.40.4
40.9→41.3
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Second
5803
#4
37.51.5
35.6→37.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
blue by 4.1
3339
#33
41.60.5
37.3→37.8
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
Third
1991
#42
27.51.5
27.0→28.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 9.3
4335
#70
18.20.5
20.6→21.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
50%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed