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Red124
583421.3
300539.8
288339.9
Blue83
464632.8
83634.1
199127.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103100809011012012483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#18
39.91.3
41.642.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
red by 5.8
836
#14
34.11.0
36.835.8
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
Second
39.81.3
37.238.5
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
red by 7.1
4646
#26
32.81.0
32.831.9
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
Third
5834
#52
21.31.6
20.922.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End1.9
blue by 6.2
1991
#42
27.51.0
28.227.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsMissed