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Qual 422016 Curie Division
Red95
333941.6
198342.2
399047.4
Blue115
365636.9
300539.8
406137.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140112608010012016018020022095115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#38
47.42.8
49.5→46.7
Auto10.5
Teleop27.0
End9.8
red by 7.6
3005
#7
39.80.1
37.3→37.5
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
Second
1983
#40
42.22.8
44.3→41.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
red by 4.6
4061
#12
37.60.1
35.0→35.1
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
Third
3339
#33
41.63.1
37.8→34.8
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
red by 4.7
3656
#37
36.90.1
40.6→40.7
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned100%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned