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Red89
108941.2
199127.5
138928.4
Blue137
188539.1
408724.0
331044.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710705015020089137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.4
39.539.1
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
blue by 3.1
3310
#34
44.21.6
49.851.5
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
1389
#35
28.40.4
27.627.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
blue by 10.7
1885
#11
39.11.6
34.736.3
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Third
1991
#42
27.50.4
28.528.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 3.5
4087
#36
24.01.6
17.819.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned