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Red140
217538.5
446944.0
108941.2
Blue110
399047.4
323036.4
208017.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810150150200140110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#28
44.01.3
43.344.7
Auto9.4
Teleop29.9
End4.6
blue by 3.4
3990
#38
47.40.5
46.747.2
Auto10.5
Teleop27.0
End9.8
Second
41.21.3
39.140.4
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
red by 4.8
3230
#56
36.40.5
36.637.1
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End5.9
Third
2175
#24
38.51.3
37.939.2
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End4.2
red by 20.7
2080
#69
17.80.5
19.119.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsEarned15%Capture oddsMissed