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Red92
491029.8
222020.3
580337.5
Blue80
107320.2
401031.4
597628.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100750501509280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.4
38.538.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
red by 6.1
4010
#41
31.40.3
30.230.4
Auto9.3
Teleop17.9
End4.2
Second
4910
#66
29.80.4
31.731.3
Auto7.3
Teleop19.8
End2.6
red by 1.8
5976
#53
28.00.3
25.625.9
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End4.2
Third
2220
#60
20.30.4
23.022.6
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
red by 0.1
1073
#71
20.20.3
20.320.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed